Brexit: will Boris Johnson betray hardline Tory MPs?

As Winston Churchill famously said, jaw-jaw is better than war-war. However, jaw-jaw is less exciting, which is why the latest news about relations between Britain and the European Union has passed most people by. In three separate areas, confidential discussions have been proposed to resolve tricky issues. Any or all may yet founder. Even if … Continue reading Brexit: will Boris Johnson betray hardline Tory MPs?

The great myth of the 2020 US elections: split voting

For America’s Democrats, Joe Biden’s inauguration is not quite the celebration they were expecting; and it’s not just because Washington’s National Mall is closed. On election day eleven weeks ago, they hoped not just to win the presidency but to tighten their grip on Congress. The 538 website’s central prediction was that they would win … Continue reading The great myth of the 2020 US elections: split voting

Biden’s victory shows that Labour’s road back to government goes through Atlanta

With almost all of the votes counted in America’s Presidential election, a mystery remains – and its solution has important lessons for British politics generally and the Labour Party in particular. The mystery is this. While polls systematically overstated Joe Biden’s support in almost all the battleground states – predicting comfortable victories in states that … Continue reading Biden’s victory shows that Labour’s road back to government goes through Atlanta