Should the Tories be worried by Reform – and Labour by the Greens?

Last time it didn’t matter; next time it might matter a lot. The best analysis of the 2019 election result found that the Brexit Party cost the Conservatives 25 seats. However, as Boris Johnson’s majority was 80 without those seats, the Brexit Party, which won no seats of its own, failed to achieve Nigel Farage’s … Continue reading Should the Tories be worried by Reform – and Labour by the Greens?

Chester by-election: not as good as it looks for Labour

If the swing in the Chester by-election were repeated throughout Britain, Labour would have a majority of around 50. In that sense, the party can claim to be on course for a comfortable victory at the next election. “Repeated throughout Britain….” Those words, or something similar, are uttered by every opposition party after every mid-term … Continue reading Chester by-election: not as good as it looks for Labour