Biden’s victory shows that Labour’s road back to government goes through Atlanta

With almost all of the votes counted in America’s Presidential election, a mystery remains – and its solution has important lessons for British politics generally and the Labour Party in particular. The mystery is this. While polls systematically overstated Joe Biden’s support in almost all the battleground states – predicting comfortable victories in states that … Continue reading Biden’s victory shows that Labour’s road back to government goes through Atlanta

Last week’s polls got the US elections wrong – but not THAT wrong

How bad were the American polls last week? Until the final figures come in, any verdict must be provisional. However, at the time of writing, this seems to be the picture. The polls systematically understated Donald Trump’s support. This meant that the predicted landslide (in electoral college terms) for Biden didn’t happen – and nor … Continue reading Last week’s polls got the US elections wrong – but not THAT wrong

America’s liberals are gaining ground – but tribal divisions are widening

The bitter polarisation of the American election is only too obvious. For many of us, the contours of the battle are clear: in one corner, Joe Biden: a decent, moderate candidate with liberal values and respect for what science tells us about issues ranging from climate change to Covic-19. In the other corner, Donald Trump, … Continue reading America’s liberals are gaining ground – but tribal divisions are widening