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The Tories will have a majority of 40 on Thursday – unless they don't
As we enter election week, let us start with what we do know, before discussing what we don’t yet know. We know that voters have been far less volatile during this campaign than it was in 2017. As I wrote last week, there were huge movements in September and October; but since early November most… Read more
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Are Britain's voters fickle or stable? It depends on the way you look at them
It was a time of turbulence, it was a time of stability. When the definitive account of the current election comes to be written, my candidate for its title is: A Tale of Two Islands. To explain: In the past three months, support for each of the Britain-wide parties has fluctuated as never before. Individual… Read more
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