At least not yet. Supporters of radical policies should be honest about the state of public opinion - then campaign to change it. Here is my latest Substack post: https://kellnerp.substack.com/p/voters-are-not-as-progressive-as Susbcribe, with no charge, to all my Substack posts here: https://kellnerp.substack.com/

The past century has been punctuated by predictions that the Conservative-Labour duopoly would collapse. Each time it has survived. My new year Substack post discusses whether it now faces a more potent challenge than in the past.. https://kellnerp.substack.com/p/is-our-two-party-system-on-the-way

was the night(mare) before Christmas... Suppose Farage asked one of his team at Reform to set out a strategy for victory. This Substack post is my stab at the advice they could give him. https://kellnerp.substack.com/p/memo-to-nigel-how-you-can-become

Human rights won: good. Religious objections were baredly mentioned: not so good. Read my Substack post here - and sign up to receive future posts free of charge. https://kellnerp.substack.com/p/kim-leadbeaters-incomplete-victory

May latest Substack post discusses the government's stance on Brexit. Ministers refuse to seek a new deal that would restore frictionless trade with the EU. They think that a big reason why Labour won this year's election was theit policy of very limited adjustments to Brexit - stance that helped to regain lolst Labour voters … Continue reading Exposed: the myth of Labour’s Red Wall Triumph

Two players in America’s polling world deserve wooden spoons. The rest did better than they are generally credited. Here’s an analysis I have written for Substack. https://kellnerp.substack.com/p/two-cheers-for-americas-pollsters

A popular magazine has some great ideas for rescuing Labour from its current malaise. It was published 84 years ago. My latest Substack looks at what it said, and its lessons for Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves. .Please subscribe - my Substacks are free. . https://kellnerp.substack.com/publish/posts/detail/150503691?referrer=%2Fpublish%2Fposts

Dear all This is the final blog that will apppear on this site. I have started posting my blogs on Substack, All you need to do now is subscribe,on kellnerp.substack.com. Subscriptions are free. Please spread the word.. I shall leave past blogs avaialble on this site, for those who wish to explore my archive. Meanwhile, … Continue reading Revealed: the big mistake the US polls made in 2020 – and why it won’t be repeated

My Substack blogs are at kellnerp.substack.com

This is my first post for Substack. You can sign up to my blogs there at kellnep.substack.com It is, perhaps, poetic justice, or maybe poetic injustice, that this, my first Substack blog, responds to the views of the friend who encouraged me to write for Substack in the first place. David Aaronovitch and I meet … Continue reading We need to debate values, not just competence

Within walking distance of Liverpool’s conference centre, where Labour will gather this weekend to celebrate its landslide victory, are 16,000 reasons why the party should be nervous about the next election. The conference is taking place in the city’s Riverside constituency. Its MP, Kim Johnson, has a majority of almost 15,000. Her victory passed unnoticed … Continue reading Where’s the bloody horse?

The collapse of the Conservative vote on Thursday did not just bring 14 years of Tory rule to a brutal end. It destroyed the new coalition of voters that the party had assembled five years ago, and seemed set to help the party dominate 21st century Britain as successfully as it dominated the 20th century. … Continue reading 2019: Tory triumph on two fronts. 2024: disaster on both